Category Archives: Elections

“I’m Pro-Gay Marriage, But Voting for Mitt Romney” — OK, Then Read This

I’m not going to tell anyone who to vote for. Honestly, I think that given the enormous challenges our country currently faces, the fact that our choices are either President Obama or Mitt Romney is a problem in and of itself.

There’s been lots of grey areas this election: lots of lies, made-up figures, and arguments over everything from big bird to rape. But there’s one issue that could not be more clear cut: gay rights.

If you’re a social liberal voting for Romney based on your economic views, you’ve got to understand what you are doing to the gay rights cause, and your LGBT friends who you support. You’ve got to think about who you’re putting on the Supreme Court, and the veto pen you’re putting in the White House.

You are renewing the national ban on gay marriage another 4 years. You are allowing gay Americans to be fired based on their sexual orientation another 4 years.

Gay people cannot achieve equality on their own. As something like 5% of the population, gay Americans rely on their family, friends, and allies to provide the necessary votes to protect their civil rights. Gay americans are counting on you to defend them from laws that would ban them from adopting children, prevent them from obtaining domestic partnerships, civil unions, and a constitutional amendment that would ban gay marriage from the Atlantic to the Pacific.

If you’re going to vote for Mitt Romney, understand what you may be doing to your gay friends or family members, and the millions you do not know. You’re endorsing a man who has balked at the idea of gay men and women raising children, and supports putting “no gay marriage,” next to freedom of speech and the right to remain silent. Are these children Romney thinks shouldn’t exist going to be your nephews? Grandchildren? Best friend’s kids?

I’m not being sarcastic or over-emphatic. Mitt Romney supports laws that would immediately and permanently divorce my married friends, and sever their relationships with their children.

I see the economic imperative in voting for Mitt Romney that many feel. I understand the excitement people feel at the prospect of a new President, a new set of solutions, and a reprieve from a nasty 4 years. But, if you’re going to do this, and still consider yourself pro-gay marriage — please, plan your penance.

What are you going to do to help marriage equality advance in your home state? Where are you going to speak out for gay rights if its not going to be with your vote on who to send to the White House? Will you promise to back a pro-gay governor? Legislator? Will you fight a ballot initiative when it comes to your home state? Will you donate to the cause in Maryland, Minnesota, Maine, or Washington?

5% of the country is being targeted by another half of it. Do something about it.


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Biden’s Funny, but Biden Didn’t do His Job.

Joe Biden was funny! Biden was sarcastic! Biden controlled the conversation — but Biden didn’t do his job. Biden, as usual, is now the distraction from what the Democrats would like to be talking about.

For weeks, Democrats have been trying to convince the country that Paul Ryan is an Ayn-Rand-fueled radical that is pushing an irrational brand of libertarianism. Biden barely touched on that, and except for a few appeals asking seniors “who do you trust?” Biden missed the last big opportunity the Democrats had to brand Ryan as an extremist that makes Romney not worth voting for.

Democrats seem happy that Biden was entertaining — but guess what? This morning, no one is talking about Paul Ryan’s medicare stances. No one is talking about the “war on women,” and no one is talking about income stratification or taxation. No one is talking about anything the Democrats want to talk about.

Joe Biden’s job was to scare people away from Paul Ryan — instead we all got a good laugh, and undecided voters got a 90 minute taste of the shouting-interrupting-no conclusions-made politics we’ve all come to hate.

Joe’s funny, but Joe failed.

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Is This Real Life?

Is this going to last forever?

Over the past few weeks, my conversations with friends — Republican and Democrat alike — have taken on a far  more frustrated tone.  As Europe gets more and more unstable, the US flirts with a double-dip recession, and people-power protests continue to cause upheaval everywhere from Moscow to Cairo, the 2012 election is looking increasingly consequential and even more defining than an election that was already about nationalized healthcare, unemployment, troop withdrawals, and income inequality.

Considering this — the growing list of problems a January 20, 2013 President is going to face — it’s become unfathomable to many (myself included) who are unhappy with the Obama presidency, the stagnant American economy, and the lack of work available for college graduates and young parents that the alternative to the past three years is either Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich.

To quote a friend:

“It’s a bad joke. We’ve got Obama in office already who’s proven he can’t turn it around and our choices are the guy who invented American healthcare, and the guy who advised the people who caused the housing crisis. This can’t be real life.”

It’s unfathomable that with what’s at stake, here are our two other choices:

Paul on Gingrich:

Huntsman on Romney:

All this, while the GOP ignores the man who predicted the international and fiscal crisis we’re in — Ron Paul; and the two-term Governor re-elected with 80% of the vote in Utah who served as a business executive and an ambassador — Jon Huntsman.

It feels a bit like this:

Mad as Hell.

Here Comes Santorum

And there goes another one. Rick Perry’s rise seems to be ending as quickly as it started.

If you’re a conservative voter, it’s probably starting to feel like Fred Thompson all over again. And over and over again. First, conservatives consigned themselves to voting to Mitt Romney. A more-conservative Tim Pawlenty came along, and quickly blew it. Then, the Michele Bachmann boomlet came and went. Then, Rick Perry shot up in the polls and has been coming back to Earth ever so quickly. Conservatives, are now looking at being locked into supporting Mitt Romney again — something many don’t want to do.

That’s where Rick Santorum comes in. Santorum has been getting stronger every single debate, hammering away at Perry and Romney, with no counter-punches from the two front-runners. That’s because while every other conservative has a right-wing flaw that can be attacked, Rick Santorum is conservatively flawless. He’s never supported universal healthcare. He’s never supported immigration. He didn’t support a bank bailout, and he’s never signed a tax increase. He’s as socially conservative as the Pope and certainly never suggested vaccinations for young girls or sex education for students.

One of the reasons Rick Santorum was never talked about as a top-tier before the race got going in earnest was because he’s exactly that conservative. He doesn’t budge, so the conventional wisdom is he can’t win a general election. Santorum is the natural home for the former Bachmann supporters who ran to Rick Perry only to find themselves backing a soft-on-immigration HPV vaccinator.

The only thing stopping a rise in the polls by Rick Santorum is a recovery by Perry, stronger performances by Cain or an entrance by Christie. Or, of course, a politician’s constant ability to shoot himself in the foot.

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Stop Cheering for Dead People

Last night’s debate was finally a little different from the back and forth we’ve had the past two or three months. Michele Bachmann was aggressive, Mitt Romney re-styled himself as a sensible policymaker and Rick Perry was forced to reveal his moderate stances on a few issues — namely, immigration.

But there was a glaring similarity to last week’s debate that I hoped wouldn’t repeat itself.

Last week, when Brian Williams noted that 230+ people had been executed in Texas, the crowed at the GOP debate cheered — and it was no fluke, they cheered again for Rick Perry’s reiteration of Texas’ execution policies.  Continue reading

Romney’s Uphill Climb to Beat Perry: Higher Than It Seems

With about two weeks of polling showing that Mitt Romney has fallen 15+ points behind Rick Perry, there’s no doubt that Rick Perry has gone from Mitt Romney competitor to GOP front-runner.

The primary narrative is now focused on a simple dynamic: how is Mitt Romney going to tear down Rick Perry? In this (essentially) two-man race, Romney has to take about 5-7% worth of the GOP electorate directly away from Perry. But as Tim Pawlenty reminded us just a few weeks ago, candidates can drop out of the race at any moment, sometimes unexpectedly.
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How Ron Paul Could Win Iowa

This weekend while I was in New Hampshire, a friend asked me what would happen if Sarah Palin ran for President. After crunching a few numbers in my head, I surprised myself with my own reply:

Ron Paul might win! I laughed at myself. And you probably just laughed too. Ron Paul, libertarian in shining armor, gets the gold medal in the Hawkeye State? It’s possible…

Take a look at the current snapshot of the race in Iowa via RealClearPolitics:

If Sarah Palin gets in the race, expect the numbers for Perry and Bachmann to come back down to earth. As shown by the one PPP poll selected, Palin does considerable damage to Perry and Bachmann’s numbers just by getting mentioned. Keep in mind, Palin, who has yet to campaign in earnest grabs 10% by virtue of her last name. Throw in some TV ads, SarahPAC canvassing, a debate performance, and a barnstorming tour of the heartland, and I’d be surprised if Perry, Bachmann or Palin come out with over 20%. But that still leaves us with Ron Paul polling in around 10-15% — how could he win?

The Ames Straw Poll proved one thing about Ron Paul, his supporters are far more dedicated about showing up when it counts, thus erasing his gap in the polls. The Iowa Caucuses aren’t an election with a voting booth — they’re an old fashioned fight over who can pack more Iowans into a room. Paul undoubtedly will outperform his polling numbers, just as he did at Ames. Paul’s CPAC-storming, Ames-filling supporters would walk to the caucus in the snow if they had to.

If Sarah Palin gets into the race, Ron Paul, backed by overzealous caucus-packing supporters, is guaranteed to pull off at least 3rd in the Iowa caucus.  And if you’re already reading this blog, chances are you don’t need to be reminded of how much more popular Ron Paul is with Republicans and Independents in New Hampshire’s open Live Free or Die primary. A strong finish in Iowa sets up a Paul supporters wildest dream — victory in New Hampshire.

Do I think it’ll happen? No. Could it? You betcha.